Modelling the impacts of climate change and SRM on biodiversity in the Americas

Host institution

Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico (UNAM)

Grant year


Project summary

Mexico’s rich biodiversity is under threat from human-induced climate change, with serious potential socioeconomic repercussions. There is still a lack of clarity around existing mitigation strategies and their effectiveness and impact on biodiversity. This project aims to address this gap by modelling the effects of climate change and solar radiation modification (SRM) on biodiversity, focusing on Mexico and the Americas. Impacts on vertebrate species will be evaluated using a macroecological framework to compare the outcomes of different climate change and SRM scenarios. We will also use Geospatial and machine-learning techniques to develop a comprehensive model for assessing the impacts and risks to biodiversity. This approach will allow us to understand the implications of climate change policies outside of the most commonly researched variables, temperature and precipitation. The objective will be to communicate these impacts and risks to biodiversity more effectively to ensure key stakeholders in the region are better informed. 

The team

profile photo
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico (UNAM)
Julián is a full researcher at the Institute for Atmospheric Sciences and Climate Change at UNAM. He was born in Colombia, where he spent most of my life, but has lived in Mexico for the last 12 years. Julián migrated to Mexico to pursue a PhD at UNAM. He is passionate about amphibians and reptiles, particularly Anolis lizards, which motivates him to evaluate the impacts of climate change on biodiversity in general. His research aims to understand how current and past climate dynamics shape biodiversity, including phenotypic diversity, at several spatial scales and how future climate change scenarios might distort these geographical patterns.
Universidad Nacional Autónoma de Mexico (UNAM)
Constantino is a researcher in the Atmospheric Sciences Department of the Institute of Atmospheric Science and Climate Change at UNAM. He is a Biologist and holds PhD in biological sciences from UNAM. His research interests are eco-epidemiology of infectious diseases and global change at different spatial and temporal scales, spatial epidemiology and development of data mining techniques and analysis of complex networks for the study of zoonotic diseases and climate change.

Photo credits

Banner: Cancún, Mexico – Copernicus Sentinel-2 mission. 16 April 2021 Credit: ESA, CC BY-SA 3.0 IGO

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