A review of the effects of solar radiation management on hydrological extremes

Abstract

Solar radiation management (SRM) is one of the proposed climate mitigation strategies to cool the planet rapidly. The injection of aerosol particles into the stratosphere for reflecting solar radiation back to the space is one of the SRM methods that are widely discussed. Theoretically, SRM might lower the earth’s temperature within a few months of deployment, reducing the impacts of climate change on natural disasters, i.e., floods and drought, which lead to huge losses in economic and human life. Solar radiation variability was identified to be a substantial factor that induced the hydrological changes, particularly in precipitation extreme. The effects of SRM on hydrological cycles, however, fluctuate depending on the location and environment. Hence, this article reviews the past SRM studies that related to the analysis of the hydrological cycle changes. A total of 17 articles were identified and collected from the Web of Science and Scopus databases. The results show that there have been an increasing number of articles in recent years studying the effects of SRM on the hydro-climatic changes. The Geoengineering Model Intercomparison Project (GeoMIP) and the Geoengineering Large Ensemble (GLENS) are two commonly used SRM-based general circulation models. In general, SRM is projected to slow down the global hydrological cycle. In comparison to the RCP 8.5 scenario, SRM generally tends to lower flood risk in many parts of the world. However, the majority of SRM research in hydrology has been conducted on a global scale, which results in a lack of robust basin-scale assessment needed for flood control policy formulation. In addition, more SRM climate models and scenario experiments should be considered to minimize the uncertainty in the framework for hydro-climatic modelling framework.